Mexico-sos
Deep Decarbonization Scenario
The deep decarbonization pathway (DDP) presented here indicates that Mexico can meet the objectives of the Paris Agreement through profound structural transformations across all economic sectors.
Deep decarbonization requires technological and behavioural changes in existing business models and event to create whole new industries and services. These decarbonisation transformations will have to be swift, but also consistent with the most pressing domestic issues such as the fight against poverty or the energy, food and water insecurity. Success on this endeavor will not come about through incremental adjustments to Mexico’s current plans. A different development narrative, which seeks sustainable social and economic development by simultaneously addressing policies, regulation, public prices, and social attitudes, will have to inform national decision making and translate into clear investments – and disinvestments – starting now.
Economy-wide
Reaching national carbon neutrality is possible but requires a progressive decrease in emissions until achieving a reduction of 90% in 2050 vs 2020, down to 51 MtCO2e in 2050. This will need important changes in the sectors with largest emissions (electricity generation, transport, and industry), and in the main sink of CO2 in the country: the AFOLU sector.
Population
millions inhabitants
GDP
Billion $ USD (2015)
Emissions per capita
tCO2e/Capita
GDP Carbon intensity
tCO2e/Bn USD$ 2015
CO2 emissions from combustion
MtCO2
(1) except electricity
GHG and gases breakdown, sinks
MtCO2e
(1) without energy & IPPU
(2) Non-CO2 for Energy, N2O – CH4 – HFC – PFC – SF6 – mix
(3) forest and all other fluxes
Electric Utilities
Electricity demand
TWh
Carbon intensity of electricity
gCO2/kWh
Power Generation capacities
GW
Power generation production
GWh
Cement
Production
Mt
Decarbonisation drivers
MtCO2e
Carbon intensity
tCO2/TJ
CO2 emissions
MtCO2e
(1) Final heat
(2) industrial process calcination emissions
(3) Energy Consumption Emissions
(4) On-site CCS U net
Passenger transport
Emission drivers
index=1 in 2015
Modal share
pkm/cap
Car stock shares
Mio vehicles
(1) Internal Combustion Engine
(2) Internal Combustion Engine
(3) Battery Electric Vehicle
(4) Plug-and-Hybrid Electric Vehicle
(5) Fuel-Cell Electric Vehicle
CO2 emissions
MtCO2
(1) indirect emissions