Brazil-sos
Deep Decarbonization Scenario
The deep decarbonisation pathways (DDP) study simulates two GHG emissions scenarios in Brazil until 2050 aligned with the general objective of the Paris Agreement (net-zero GHG emissions in 2050).
The Current Policies Scenario (CPS) follows the trend of ongoing mitigation actions. Its net emissions are of 1.66 Gt CO2eq in 2030 and 1.89 Gt CO2eq in 2050, with no increase in mitigation ambitions between 2030 and 2050. The CPS nearly meets the country’s previous target for 2030 but is above the figure (1.4 Gt CO2eq) of the revised NDC presented in COP 26.
The Deep Decarbonization Scenario (DDS) incorporates more ambitious actions, but no major breakthroughs or use of disruptive technologies, enabling to reach 1.0 Gt CO2eq in 2030 and achieve net-zero emissions in 2050. DDS’s main features are a radical reduction in deforestation rates and an increase of carbon sinks. This is mainly due to an efficient command and control policy on deforestation and carbon pricing policies from 2021.
This video is the recorded launch of ACT-DDP Brazil’s sectoral decarbonization dialogues organized by COPPE/UFRJ (DDP research partner in Brazil) on the 7th April 2021, 2020, presenting the ACT-DDP project objectives and activities.
Speakers: Emilio Lebre La Rovere, Professor, PPE/COPPE/UFRJ – Coordinator, CentroClima e LIMA/COPPE/UFRJ
Population
millions inhabitants
GDP
Billion $ USD (2015)
Emissions per capita
tCO2e/Capita
GDP Carbon intensity
tCO2e/Bn USD$ 2015
CO2 emissions from combustion
MtCO2
(1) except electricity
GHG and gases breakdown, sinks
MtCO2e
(1) without energy & IPPU
(2) Non-CO2 for Energy, N2O – CH4 – HFC – PFC – SF6 – mix
(3) forest and all other fluxes
Electric Utilities
Electricity demand
TWh
Carbon intensity of electricity
gCO2/kWh
Power Generation capacities
GW
Power generation production
GWh
Cement
Production
Mt
Decarbonisation drivers
MtCO2e
Carbon intensity
tCO2/TJ
CO2 emissions
MtCO2e
(1) Final heat
(2) industrial process calcination emissions
(3) Energy Consumption Emissions
(4) On-site CCS U net
AFOLU
Land use
% Mha
Drivers of decarbonisation
Indiex=1 in 2019
Emissions breakdown - LULUCF
MtCO2e
(1) Land remaining forestland
Emissions breakdown - Agriculture
MtCO2e
(1) incl manure left on pasture
(2) organic fertilisers